According to The Kobeissi Letter, Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projections have consistently underestimated the long-term growth of US federal debt. In 2001, the CBO forecasted that federal debt held by the public would decline to $0.9 trillion by 2011, but actual debt surged to $10.4 trillion—a miss of $9.5 trillion (source: The Kobeissi Letter, May 29, 2025). This persistent underestimation signals growing fiscal uncertainty, which is driving increased demand for cryptocurrencies and decentralized assets as hedges against US dollar devaluation. Traders should monitor these macroeconomic trends, as rising federal debt levels historically correlate with increased volatility and bullish sentiment in the Bitcoin and altcoin markets.